A live forecasting experiment

Can an AI agent beat the experts on Canadian inflation?

One public call, locked before Statistics Canada releases CPI, then scored beside consensus and major bank forecasts.

Inflation Agent forecast Live

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Expected range –

The race

Leaderboard

Current calls and cumulative accuracy across completed rounds.

Current round

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How it works

1
Publish the call
Public evidence updates the forecast audit without hiding uncertainty.
2
Lock the round
Every eligible call freezes 30 minutes before the CPI release.
3
Keep the score
Absolute miss decides the monthly winner and the long-run table.

Decision trail

What changed, what did not, and the evidence behind the current call.

The record

Every locked call, official result, miss, and winner stays visible.

Build in public

Short notes on changes to the model, harness, automations, and product.

Evidence

Official releases and public evidence used by the forecast system.